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Key takeaways

  • The Middle East region is growing—fast. Countries in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) have successfully reduced their dependence on oil and gas, opened their capital markets and diversified their economies.
  • Of the six members of the GCC, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Oman, Kuwait and Bahrain, four are constituents of the MSCI Emerging Market Index, with a fifth, Oman potentially joining in 2027.
  • Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 is driving investment and economic growth, positioning the Kingdom as the premier destination for international events and enhancing its tourism offering.
  • Dubai’s new airport and solar power investment is fulfilling its sustainable tourist development plan with a goal of raising renewables share of the energy mix and tourism’s contribution to GDP.
  • Investment in Qatar’s North Field gas expansion will double liquified natural gas production by 2030.
  • Kuwait is showing signs of a long-awaited economic awakening. Its recently approved a sovereign debt law and new mortgage law, could unlock growth in the banking, real estate and construction sectors.

The structural reforms, improved governance and rising investor confidence have contributed to a decline in the equity risk premium from a 10 year high of 6.6% in 2016 to 2.4% in March 2025. A lower equity risk premium should, other things equal, lead to a decline in the cost of capital for a company, potentially increasing returns for shareholders in GCC companies.