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The information provided should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. It should not be assumed that any of the securities discussed here were, or will prove to be, profitable.

Market update

Hello, I’m Andrew Ness, co-manager of TEMIT.  Over the past 12 months, emerging markets have delivered a wide range of returns, influenced by regional economic conditions, geopolitical events (of which there has been many) and expectations of trade and policy changes to come. And while the asset class has struggled to keep up with a rampaging US equity market, TEMIT has been able to deliver positive returns for shareholders in both absolute terms and against the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

 

Despite all the background noise, at Franklin Templeton, stock selection remains at the core of our investment practice and that’s what drives TEMIT’s performance…

Despite all the background noise, at Franklin Templeton, stock selection remains at the core of our investment practice and that’s what drives TEMIT’s performance.  Focusing on the last 12 months, we can see that we’ve benefited from our continued holding of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s largest semiconductor foundry and our largest single position in the Trust. It remains the market leader from a technology perspective and has a long runway for growth given the ongoing digitalisation of all our lives.

Samsung Life Insurance, Korea’s leading life insurance company, has also performed well, helped by robust operating performance and by expectations of increased returns to shareholders, a common theme in the Korean market where corporate governance trends continue to improve. Elsewhere, we’ve seen significant returns from Brilliance China, BMW’s joint venture partner in China, where, after a difficult period for the company, shareholders are now enjoying bumper dividends - hence the significant total return over the last year.

 

Finally, we’ve seen strong performance from Swiggy, the Indian food delivery platform that was our first private investment in the Trust…

Another strong contributor to the trust has been Hon Hai Precision Industry, the Taiwanese technology giant, and Apple’s key assembly partner for iPhones. Hon Hai has benefited from the AI boom, through its server relationship with NVIDIA and other large US clients such as Microsoft, Oracle and Amazon. Finally, we’ve seen strong performance from Swiggy, the Indian food delivery platform that was our first private investment in the Trust. Swiggy’s recent IPO (stock market float) is the second largest in India in 2024 and the company has a track record of innovation and strong growth and with the food delivery market in India still in its early stages, the outlook for continued growth remains encouraging. 

 

From a country perspective our key overweights in TEMIT are in Asia and Latin America; in countries like Korea and Brazil where we find high quality companies trading at attractive valuations…

From a country perspective our key overweights in TEMIT are in Asia and Latin America; in countries like Korea and Brazil where we find high quality companies trading at attractive valuations. We’re underweight the Middle East, mainly the largest regional market Saudi Arabia as valuations are high and geopolitical tensions remain elevated, which has increased risk premium for the MENA region.  We’re also underweight in China and India given ongoing uncertainty on the economic outlook in the former and the persistence of high valuations in the latter.

And in terms of sector positioning, we are overweight Information Technology, but with a very diversified group of companies ranging from semiconductors and technology hardware manufacturers to software service providers. We’re effectively investing in the enablers of the digital revolution taking place around us.

 

And we are overweight many of the companies that are disrupting traditional industries – so overweight internet names via e-commerce, food delivery and media and entertainment companies…

And we are overweight many of the companies that are disrupting traditional industries – so overweight internet names via e-commerce, food delivery and media and entertainment companies. We also remain overweight in emerging market banks as one way to play the consumer under-penetration story in emerging markets where banks are benefiting from an attractive combination of loan growth, robust asset quality, lower interest rates, and unsatisfied demand for credit products.

Finally, we are underweight energy, utilities and the real estate sectors as we typically fail to find companies in these sectors that offer ‘sustainable earnings at a discount to intrinsic worth’ which remains our core investment philosophy.  Looking at our largest stock exposures, our portfolio continues to reflect a high level of diversity of names by industry, where in our top 20 holdings we have 13 different industries represented, ranging from semiconductors, banks and retailing to chemicals, insurance and media & entertainment.

 

We also have a good mix of well-known large-cap names: ICICI Bank, one of the largest private sector banks in India…

We also have a good mix of well-known large-cap names: ICICI Bank, one of the largest private sector banks in India; TSMC, the world’s leading semiconductor foundry and some lesser-known names too. For example, LG Corp, a Korean conglomerate with world-class assets in consumer electronics, EV batteries and speciality chemicals. And we also names like Mediatek,  G chip design house, and Samsung Life, the largest life insurance company in Korea.    These companies are all typically leaders in their respective industries, with resilient business models, robust balance sheets and solid profitability that gives them an ability to navigate whatever environment we shall face over the next 12 months and beyond.

Portfolio activity

Over the last 12 months, our well-resourced investment team, located in 14 countries across the asset class, have been scouring the investment universe for new investment opportunities in TEMIT. New names added include the following: Budweiser APAC, one of the largest beer companies in Asia with key exposure in China, Korea and India – a play on both the premiumisation of the beer market in China and the growth of beer consumption in markets like India. 

 

New names added include the following: Budweiser APAC, one of the largest beer companies in Asia with key exposure in China, Korea and India…

We invested in Discovery Ltd,  a South African financial services group with a leading life insurance business and a fast-growing challenger bank. Discovery created the shared value concept – which includes the Vitality brand which essentially, encouraging their customers to adopt healthier lifestyle habits reduces their insurance risk and creates value for shareholders – a win/win situation. And they’re taking that concept to credit underwriting too in the banking business.

Elsewhere we’ve invested in Kuaishou Technology, the number two short video platform in China, second to Douyin, TikTok’s Chinese platform. This is a play on longer term consumer recovery, advertising growth and the continued development of social e-commerce, buying on recommendations of key opinion leaders. 

And one final name to mention is Spinneys 1961, a high-end fresh food retailer in the UAE with growth ambitions in the fast-developing Saudi market. They have exclusive use of the Waitrose brand so those of you holidaying in Dubai may have bought some expensive avocados from them! With significant growth in expat migration to the region, we expect strong tailwinds for growth in this business.

 

Opportunity and outlook

Emerging markets remain at the vanguard of an incredible period of global change, and they generate the majority of global growth.  And that growth differential is likely to widen in favour of emerging markets on the back of more positive demographic trends, natural resource advantages, increased productivity from technology and innovation, and further infrastructure development.

 

So, what is the asset class today? It’s innovation and technology. it is Korea and Taiwan – high end semiconductors and leading-edge electric vehicle batteries…

And even if that growth advantage is already well understood, what we don’t think is, perhaps so well known, is the changing quality of the asset class. This is a fundamentally different asset class from even 10 years ago, forget when in I started investing in 1994.   So, what is the asset class today?  It’s innovation and technology.  it is Korea and Taiwan – high end semiconductors and leading-edge electric vehicle batteries.  Its electric vehicles themselves made by Korean and Chinese manufacturers who are eating the global industry’s lunch.  It’s the Chinese renewable energy supply chain, helping decarbonise the world where China’s dominance persists, despite the US’ best efforts.

The EM asset class today is the e-commerce platforms selling to young, educated emerging consumers in large populous countries like China, India, Brazil and Indonesia.  It’s world leading gaming and digital entertainment companies. It’s the software engineers across EM, servicing the developed world.  It’s the opportunities in the middle east where you have wealthy economies meeting structural reforms, creating a new wave of investment opportunities for investors.

 

The emerging markets’ opportunity now is the ability to invest in the global companies of both today and the future…

The emerging markets’ opportunity now is the ability to invest in the global companies of both today and the future – where rising domestic consumption and widening global opportunities will help to maintain emerging market’s growth lead over the developed world. Valuations should ultimately respond to this.  We take comfort from the fact that Emerging Market valuations are low and investors are lightly positioned.

As our co-founder Sir John Templeton said: ”Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die on euphoria”. After a decade of Emerging market underperformance, it’s fair to say there are plenty of pessimists and sceptics out there. 

We’re hoping the next 12 months challenges that view. 

How to Invest with Us

Shares in TEMIT qualify as an investment which can be held through an ISA. TEMIT is available through a stocks and shares ISA from a number of different companies. Your financial adviser will be able to give you full details of the options available to you.